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May 28, 2013

Krugman vs R&R continues, and he remininsces about Portugal of his youth

The brouhaha between Krugman and the debunked debt v growth authors (Rogoff and Reinhart) has become fodder for mainstream new articles.  An article in today’s WSJ lays out for all how heated the debate has become. Krugman must have gotten a heads up on the article since the day before he posted on his blog that we should be focusing on policy and not hurt feelings.   

Last week Krugman had penned a piece that again battered Rogoff and Reinhart as he had done many times over the past six weeks.  R&R then replied back that he has been “spectacularly uncivil” and also “sloppy”. Krugman’s response pretty much aimed to minimize and end the confrontation, he didn’t apologize for getting personal or for claiming they didn’t make their data available – his response was more academic as he highlighted that his main issue was that they used a hard/fast 90% ratio line to show when debt becomes a big issue.  Krugman feels this particular point has had major policy implications and led governments to be much more austerian than they would have been otherwise.   

In a later post Krugman shows us how bad things have become in Portugal and he is angry.  Angry because he does not understand why the common folk need to suffer under austerity when economics knows how to cure the problem.  The answer he reminds us is modest inflation and having government spend more money to get more capital in the economy.  He then blames R&R (he doesn’t quote them by name here but we can tell who he is talking about) because he feels their papers misled policy makers to shy away from more spending. 

Krugman then has a post where he reminisces about being in Portugal in the 70’s.  Evidently he was there after a dictator was overthrown to help get the economy on its feet.  He tells us how poor it was and then when he returned 25 years later it had become very modern. He uses this as a segue way into how important the current policy debate is because this improvement in lives he feels is threatened by the current austerity.  In posts last year he has even said if austerity continues he worries about a repeat of the 30’s. 

In other exciting topics – Krugman takes the view that the coming implementation of Obamacare will be bad for --- Republicans!  This is quite the contrarian point of view as the press has been full of articles detailing how confusing things are about to become. 

Regarding inflation – Krugman believes we should have a 4% target – (2% is what the Fed currently is targeting). 

Krugman has an interesting discussion on how he doesn’t believe conservatives are allowed to change or update their views on hot topics.  He names some conservatives that have but then says they are branded as former conservatives. What I found most fascinating however was that in order for Krugman to make his point that the right wing is intellectually dead since they don’t allow changing of positions when more evidence comes in, he names examples of liberal viewpoints from yesteryear that some liberals have moved away from to show how the left does allow change.  Some of these liberal points include a) rent control b) airline deregulation c) emission credits and some others.

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